Historian predicts support for Trump will plummet as impeachment inquiry continues

December 1, 2019

Leftists’ wishful thinking knows no bounds.

According to The Hill, presidential historian Douglas Brinkley said Friday that he thinks public support for President Donald Trump will collapse as the Democrats’ impeachment inquiry continues.

Come again?

Brinkley’s prediction came during an appearance Friday on CNN, where the historian serves as a contributor. And when describing what “deep trouble Donald Trump is in,” Brinkley didn’t hold back.

“You have 50% of the country wanting [Trump] not just impeached but removed from office, and the game hasn’t even gotten fast yet,” Brinkley noted, according to Breitbart. “I think once the vote is taken by Congress to impeach him and he’s wearing the ‘I’ on his chest, you’re going to see that movement grow even more.”

Brinkley was referring to a November by CNN that found that as many as 50% of Americans want to see Trump impeachment and removed. But another poll conducted the same week by Quinnipiac University reported that just 45% of respondents said they were in favor of Trump’s impeachment, while 48% of voters were against it.

Some look at numbers like these and conclude that there are plenty of Americans who don’t buy what the Democrats are trying to sell. But to Brinkley, the fact that most are against impeachment means nothing because, he contends, Americans are going to change their minds as the impeachment process continues.

“He’s a base politician,” the historian said of Trump, according to Mediaite. “He doesn’t know how to turn this around.”

But the Democrats are doing a perfectly good job of turning things around for Trump on their own. Brinkley may act as though the country is turning on Trump, but the real trend, as polls show, is actually in favor of the president.

Historical precedent

Still, Brinkley maintains that Democrats will see a victory in 2020, citing historical president. According to Brinkley, Trump finds himself in a similar position as Jimmy Carter when he first came on the scene in the 1970s.

“I think the Democrats might want to look at the way Jimmy Carter pulled off victory in 1976,” Brinkley said. “He took the high road. He ran on saying, ‘I will never tell a lie to you.’ He didn’t have to say [Richard] Nixon’s lies or Lyndon Johnson’s lies, just that I am clean, good governance coming your way if you vote for me.”

But it is far from clear that the two situations are analogous: Trump is far from the country’s most corrupt president, and it isn’t clear that the Dems have a candidate who could run on good character. Meanwhile, Trump maintains the support of a sizable portion of the country, as difficult as that may be for Brinkley to understand.

Furthermore, whoever does challenge President Trump will have to deal with the 45th president’s impressive accomplishments in areas like economics and foreign affairs. That will be no easy task — especially for the Democrats, who, preoccupied with removing a duly elected president, have accomplished nothing of their own since 2016. What can they take to their voters? Dubious and failed impeachment attempts?

That’s hardly a basis for a campaign. But that doesn’t mean the Dems won’t keep trying.

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Robert Ayers

Robert Ayers is a staff writer for Conservative Institute. He has a bachelor’s degree from Quinnipiac University and a J.D. from the University of Connecticut.