Bookies predict Trump will take on Joe Biden in 2020 – and win

June 26, 2019

Joe Biden is not a winning horse, according to bookies.

President Donald Trump is an even money bet to win re-election against Joe Biden, according to Biden is favored to be the Democratic nominee, but his odds of beating Trump are 4-1.

Bookies: Watch Trump

While polls in recent days have shown Trump trailing Joe Biden, many doubt their predictive power, especially after Trump’s shocking election victory in 2016. Pollsters suffered a demoralizing embarrassment when Hillary Clinton was denied what many “experts” made out to be a virtually destined victory.

For those who don’t trust the polls, the bookies are telling a very different story. A recent Fox poll showed Trump trailing Joe Biden 39% to 49% — but according to bookies, Trump is a 1-1 bet to win re-election.

Biden is the leading Democrat to beat Trump with 4-1 odds. There’s nothing too unusual there, but there are surprises: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (MA) is in second among Dems, with 5-1 odds of beating Trump. Warren has experienced an unexpected surge in recent weeks, bolting toward the front of the pack with a series of bold policy proposals, including an “economic patriotism” agenda that won praises across the aisle from Fox News host Tucker Carlson.

But it gets funkier than that: Andrew Yang, the entrepreneur running an unconventional campaign based on a $1,000 federal stipend for all citizens as a safety net against automation, is beating out Bernie Sanders. Going by most polls, Sen. Sanders (VT) is the second or third place Democrat, but betting odds place him in sixth in the general, behind Trump, Biden, Warren, Yang, and South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) is tied with Bernie with 16-1 odds to win. But the odds still show Biden in favor to win the Democratic primary, with Warren and Buttigieg in second and third to take the nomination.

“Now at even money (1-1), Trump is still the odds on favorite to win re-election in 2020,” BetOnline reported. “In the battle for the 2020 Democratic nominee, Joe Biden is favored but Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, and Andrew Yang are closing in.”

Biden is a poor bet

For many, the betting odds merely state what is intuitively obvious: the Democratic primary field is crowded with weak, uninspiring candidates who even Democrats doubt stand much of a chance against Trump. Most troubling for Democrats: their frontrunner is a political dinosaur who can’t seem to last a week without tripping over his shoelaces.

Biden’s campaign has suffered a stream of embarrassments from the moment the starting pistol fired. The Democrat has taken a beating over a series of policy flip-flops, including on the Hyde Amendment, as well as a groping scandal and comments that critics say peg the old-school Democrat as out of touch with his base.

Indeed, Biden has blundered through his various gaffes with carelessness and insensitivity that is rattling the politically correct left. The Democrat’s campaign almost imploded last week after he cited work with pro-segregation Democratic senators as an example of “civility.” And when Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), who is black, demanded an apology, Biden flipped the tables, saying that Booker was in the wrong.

The aging Democrat gave more signs that he is out of touch with progressives when he wooed wealthy donors in New York last week, promising that he wouldn’t “demonize” them if elected and that their standard of living wouldn’t change. Biden’s campaign has also shown signs of plain old laziness, with critics savaging Biden over a leisurely campaign pace and instances of plagiarism.

Also concerning to Democrats is Biden’s age. The Democrat would be the oldest president ever if elected, and many are wondering if he can go toe-to-toe with the energetic septuagenarian Trump. Meanwhile, Biden can’t seem to shake his habit of making weird comments to underage girls.

Biden doesn’t seem to be taking the race seriously. Why would anyone bet on him?


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Matthew Boose

Matthew Boose is a staff writer for Conservative Institute. He has a Bachelor's degree from Stony Brook University and has contributed to The Daily Caller and The Stony Brook Press.